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Weekly Forecast

Weekly outlooks built from current data, market expectations and explicit invalidation conditions.

  1. A single gold bar resting on a pale stone surface in warm side light

    GoldPremium ResearchLatest

    Gold weekly forecast: Wednesday's CPI decides whether $4,100 holds

    Attacks on Gulf tankers hit a wartime high and gold fell anyway. This year a war headline reaches gold through oil, inflation and interest rates, and the September CPI is the next checkpoint.

  2. Editorial illustration of tankers moving through open shipping lanes beside a closed, hatched lane, with a rising price line

    Crude OilPremium Research

    Oil weekly forecast: the strike is off the table, the strait is not

    Trump ruled out new strikes on Iran before the November 3 midterms, but attacks on Gulf tankers just hit a wartime high and crude flows through Hormuz fell to a two-month low. What the price already holds, and the two things that would move it.

  3. Editorial illustration of silver bars beneath a falling price line, with a dashed line that falls less steeply

    SilverPremium Research

    Silver weekly forecast: losing on both of its jobs

    Silver has fallen about twice as hard as gold this month. Higher rates hit it as a metal that pays no income and again as an industrial input, and the September CPI decides whether that continues.

  4. Editorial illustration of a bitcoin coin above a stepped price line falling onto a hatched support band

    BitcoinPremium Research

    Bitcoin weekly forecast: borrowed money sets the speed, $80,000 is the line to watch

    Bitcoin is at its lowest level this month after the biggest daily ETF outflow since June and a wave of forced selling. Higher yields raise the cost of holding it on credit, and the September CPI sets the next rate signal.

  5. A single gold bar on a pale stone surface in warm natural light

    GoldPremium Research

    Gold weekly forecast: Fed decision puts rates and dollar in focus

    Markets are pricing in ~90% odds of a 25bp rate hike on Wednesday. Gold has structural support, but yields and the dollar are setting the short-term tone.